Monday 27 August 2012

In The Time Of Nick (Rogers) - Part 4


At a certain point, as Marx and Engels set out in Capital III, in the section on overproduction of Capital, the process set out in Part 3 reaches the point whereby the increase in production brings about no further increase in the amount of profit i.e. Capital has been overproduced, and further production ceases being Capital. As they put it,

When would over-production of capital be absolute? Overproduction which would affect not just one or another, or a few important spheres of production, but would be absolute in its full scope, hence would extend to all fields of production?

There would be absolute over-production of capital as soon as additional capital for purposes of capitalist production = 0. The purpose of capitalist production, however, is self-expansion of capital, i.e., appropriation of surplus-labour, production of surplus-value, of profit. As soon as capital would, therefore, have grown in such a ratio to the labouring population that neither the absolute working-time supplied by this population, nor the relative surplus working-time, could be expanded any further (this last would not be feasible at any rate in the case when the demand for labour were so strong that there were a tendency for wages to rise); at a point, therefore, when the increased capital produced just as much, or even less, surplus-value than it did before its increase, there would be absolute over-production of capital; i.e., the increased capital C + ΔC would produce no more, or even less, profit than capital C before its expansion by ΔC. In both cases there would be a steep and sudden fall in the general rate of profit, but this time due to a change in the composition of capital not caused by the development of the productive forces, but rather by a rise in the money-value of the variable capital (because of increased wages) and the corresponding reduction in the proportion of surplus-labour to necessary labour.”


However, suppose as a consequence of a whole series of discoveries and developments four new industries are created, say producing micro-electronics, biotechnology, computer games and healthcare.

Now, instead of the total of £800 of additional Capital being employed in industries 1-4, it is employed in creating industries 5-8. The Supply of commodities 1-4 remains as it was. The “ magnitude of definite social wants” that previously existed continues to be met, at the original price of £1.40, and the original amount of Constant and Variable Capital continues to be employed to satisfy those wants. But now, the additional Capital employs the additional workers, and additional Constant Capital, producing commodities 5-8. As new commodities they have a completely new “magnitude of definite social wants” waiting to be satisfied. To the extent that demand for commodities 1-4 falls as the original workers/consumers decide to purchase an amount of commodities 5-8, so it is compensated for by the additional demand for commodities 1-4, from the new additional workers.

When the reality of Capitalist production is taken into consideration, whereby there is technological change which reduces the Value of Constant Capital, which revolutionises production, and where there are increasing returns to scale, it can easily be seen how, the development of whole new industries and commodities that characterise the commencement of a new Long Wave Boom, facilitates a rise in the Rate of Profit, and how this feeds through into increased accumulation.

In my original article, I pointed out that the nature of Capitalist Production under Monopoly Capitalism is different to that analysed by Marx more than 150 years ago. Then the Capitalist economy was still characterised by large numbers of small to medium sized firms each competing for market share on the basis of price competition. Marx understood that this process was only a stage of Capitalist production, which was disappearing as a result of a process of concentration and centralisation of capital, which was establishing ever larger firms. As Engels describes in Anti-Duhring, this logical and historical development of Capitalism from individual ownership, to the establishment of Joint Stock Companies, to Limited Liability, and thence to the establishment of Trusts and Cartels had its logical conclusion in the establishment of State Capitalism. He wrote,

The modern state, no matter what its form, is essentially a capitalist machine, the state of the capitalists, the ideal personification of the total national capital. The more it proceeds to the taking over of productive forces, the more does it actually become the national capitalist, the more citizens does it exploit. The workers remain wage-workers - proletarians. The capitalist relation is not done away with. It is rather brought to a head” (p360).

Kliman is absolutely correct on this point. He writes,

Government provision of, and people's entitlement to, some goods and services is now frequently called 'decommodification', but it is actually nothing of the sort. Before the Government can provide these things, it must either buy them or produce them. If it buys these things, they obviously remain commodities. They continue to be produced in order to expand value. This means they continue to be produced in a way that minimises cost and maximises production, and the consequences of this – exploitation, poor working conditions, unemployment and the falling tendencies of prices and the rate of profit – continue to exist as well. And Marx (Marx and Engels Collected Works Vol. 24 pp 531-59) argued that 'Where the state itself is a capitalist producer, as in the exploitation of mines, forests etc., its product is a “commodity” and hence possesses the specific character of every other commodity.' This is not so because he defined it to be so, but because a government that acts as a capitalist producer minimises costs, maximises production, and in general behaves just like a private capitalist. Nothing is different in this case except that the moneys that purchase the 'de-commodified' commodities that the government produces are called tax contributions rather than sales revenues.” (Note 16 to Chapter 1, “The Failure of Capitalist Production”)

In my original article, I wrote that this development of Monopoly Capitalism, together with the increased planning that goes with it, both at the level of the enterprise, and of the Capitalist State, fundamentally changes the manner in which these crises of overproduction are manifested, though it does not change the underlying dynamic of overproduction as analysed by Marx, and described above. I wrote,

When the credit crunch stopped economic activity in 2009, companies like Honda in Swindon slowed down production, and got their workers to take holidays. They did not say, ‘We have to maximise profits so let’s ramp up production to secure a bigger market share’ - which is how a crisis of overproduction classically developed, according to Marx. The capitalist state helped smooth out the dislocation through‘cash for clunkers’ schemes. The Chinese state provided vouchers redeemable against consumer goods. In other words, Nick’s view of capitalism seems stuck in an early 19th century neoclassical world, which had even disappeared in Engels’ last descriptions.”

And in support of this last statement I quoted Engels comments in his Critique of the Erfurt Programme, where he wrote,

Capitalist production by joint-stock companies is no longer private production, but production on behalf of many associated people. And when we pass on from joint-stock companies to trusts, which dominate and monopolise whole branches of industry, this puts an end not only to private production, but also to planlessness.”

I also cited Simon Clarke who set out in Capital and Class Winter 1990, the extent to which this planning was more a feature of modern Capitalism than it was of the USSR! He wrote,

Indeed it would be fair to say that the sphere of planning in capitalism is much more extensive than it is in the command economies of the Soviet bloc … The extent of coordination through cartels, trade associations, national governments and international organisations makes Gosplan look like an amateur in the planning game. The scale of the information flows which underpin the stock control and ordering of a single western retail chain are probably greater than those which support the entire Soviet planning system.”

In response Nick makes an argument, which to be honest I found bizarre. On the one hand he does not deny that There is a process of ongoing concentration and centralisation of capital and an increasing role for the state in advancing the interests of national capitals.” But, he seems to want to ignore that fact in terms of what it means in terms of the way Capitalist Crises manifest themselves! Indeed, he seems to be wanting to present my argument as being that this development means that Capitalist Crises are thereby abolished, a position I have never even suggested! What is also odd is that he comes to this argument having set out the extent to which Kliman was arguing against the underconsumptionists. But, in fact, on this point of the way modern corporations operate, Kliman is once again in agreement with me, not with Nick! Kliman writes,

In a competitive environment, companies must lower the prices they charge when their costs of production decline.” (Page 16)

And he adds in Note 4 to this point,

This explanation of why prices fall has nothing to do with the irredeemably flawed notion that technical progress causes 'overproduction' – the production of too much output in relation to demand which in turn forces companies to slash their prices. Companies' decisions about how much output to produce are based on projections of demand for the output. Since technical progress does not affect demand – buyers care about the characteristics of products, not the processes used to produce them – it will not cause companies to increase their levels of output, all else being equal.”

Quite right, and provided this planned expansion or contraction of their output in line with their projections of demand is consistent with reality, i.e. their projections of demand were correct there is no reason why each individual Capital should not order its affairs in such a way. There is no reason even where a firm is achieving high rates of profit, because its costs are falling, and its Capital is being thereby devalued, should not actually reduce its level of output rather than increase it! In fact, during the 1990's there was a saying in Silicon Valley that the most prosperous firms were the ones that were able to move to SMALLER premises! There is no reason, why such an oligopolistic firm, if it sees it can meet its planned output targets with a reduced amount of Capital, or with a lower level of re-investment will not do so, especially where its analysis shows that to expand output further would be unprofitable. Furthermore, having arrived at that conclusion, there is no reason that such a capital would not seek to invest its surplus funds in some other venture, be it some other area of production, or be it some speculative adventure.

The argument that Nick proposes in this respect that high rates of profit must mean high levels of demand does not at all follow.  A firm or industry can experience a a rising rate of profit when demand is falling, providing its costs are falling rapidly such that even with a decling volume of profit its relation to the advanced Capital is rising.  Moreover, the rate of profit in buggy whip production may be higher than the average, and yet will not cause any great increase in investment, precisely because the actual volume of profit created is so small.  As Marx points out at a certain stage, the actual volume of Profit becomes more important than the Rate of Profit.

As set out earlier, the existence of a Long Wave Boom makes it easier for such surplus Capital to be invested in some new productive activity. In fact, if we look at the present situation there is no evidence of a crisis of overproduction. There may be unused resources, but that is not the same as a crisis of overproduction, which is where Capital has expanded to a stage where there are masses of unsold and unsaleable commodities left on the market. In fact, in large parts of the economy – if we take the Capitalist economy as we must as being one single global economy – growth and investment are continuing at a massive pace. In the last decade, the global workforce has grown by about a third, GDP has doubled, and Fixed Capital Formation has also doubled.

But, when the Long Wave turns to the down phase, this is no longer so easy to achieve. Those same large firms can bring about planned reductions or slowdowns in output and investment, but they increasingly find a lack of alternative profitable homes for their investable Capital. As a consequence, the workers they lay off, the companies from which they no longer purchase inputs see their income disappear. Now, its not just the reduction in demand the corporations foresaw, which comes about, but an additional sudden drop in demand, and the longer such conditions persist, the less any Government intervention to stimulate additional demand can have any effect, as firms use any temporary upturn to raise prices rather than production. It creates the kind of stagflation witnessed in the 1970's.

But I find Nick's comment bizarre for another reason. He equates this introduction of planning with a reduction in competition. But, in almost any sphere you can think of increased planning does not reduce competition it intensifies it! Is the competition on the football field or the battlefield reduced let alone abolished, by more and more effective planning by football managers, or by Generals? As Marxist economists identified during the 1980's, the development of huge multinational oligopolistic firms did not reduce competition but raised it to ever new heights. The difference is that this competition is not manifest in a price competition, but is manifest in competition to raise profits by reducing costs, by winning market share not by slashing prices, but by raising quality, promoting brand loyalty and so on.

Less still is Nick's comment that such planning spells the end of the Law of Value understandable. Marx makes clear that the Law of Value is a Law of Nature, which has applied from the beginning of Man's history. For most of that history, production was planned in some form or another. Primitive Communist Communities planned their hunting and gathering activities to meet their needs, peasants assessed their family needs, and organised their production to meet it alongside their feudal obligations. In Capital, Marx even refers to Robinson Crusoe to demonstrate how the Law of Value determined his production decisions. As Marx put it in his letter to Kugelmann,

Every child knows that any nation that stopped working, not for a year, but let us say, just for a few weeks, would perish. And every child knows, too, that the amounts of products corresponding to the differing amounts of needs demand differing and quantitatively determined amounts of society’s aggregate labour. It is self-evident that this necessity of the distribution of social labour in specific proportions is certainly not abolished by the specific form of social production; it can only change its form of manifestation. Natural laws cannot be abolished at all. The only thing that can change, under historically differing conditions, is the form in which those laws assert themselves. And the form in which this proportional distribution of labour asserts itself in a state of society in which the interconnection of social labour expresses itself as the private exchange of the individual products of labour, is precisely the exchange value of these products.”


So, given that according to Marx the Law of Value has applied throughout the millennia of man's history, during most of which time his production was planned, its difficult to understand how Nick believes that a return to some kind of planning under Capitalism could abolish it!!! Indeed, its difficult to see how even the “form” of the Law of Value adopted under Capitalism could be abolished either, because this planning is only a Capitalist planning for the production of commodities in a more effective manner, not planning to abolish the commodity form itself! Even when that takes the form of production by, and planning by the Capitalist State itself, it remains production of commodities as Kliman described in the quote provided earlier.

For more on what Marx actually said in relation to the Law of Value see - Law Of Value

In the next part I will look at the arguments in relation to the TSSI put forward by Nick.

Back To Part 3

Forward to Final Part

No comments: